互联网使用有助于农地长期转出吗?

Does Internet use help transfer out of agricultural land in the long term?

采用Probit和工具变量法,利用中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)2015年调查数据,实证检验互联网使用与农地转出期限的关系及其影响机制。研究结果表明:互联网使用显著促进农户长期转出农地,处理内生性问题后得到一致的结果;互联网使用促进农地长期转出的路径有二种,一是互联网使用通过降低转出户非农就业的失业风险来促进农地长期转出,二是降低因转入方违约行为导致的农地流转违约风险来促进农地长期转出;互联网使用对农地长期转出影响具有异质性,受教育程度越高的农户在使用互联网后,其选择农地长期转出的可能性会相对更高。结合当前农户在农地流转期限决策中面临有效信息缺乏的现实,丰富并完善互联网相关专业平台的信息提供,并加强平台服务宣传以吸引、服务更多农户;提高低教育程度农户互联网信息获取能力,使其有效信息获取渠道从线下拓展为线下+线上。

Using Probit and Instrumental Variable Methods,the relationship between Internet use and the duration of farmland switching out and its influence mechanism were empirically examined based on the China Household Finance Survey(CHFS)2015 survey data.The findings show that:Internet use significantly promotes long-term transfer out of farmland by farmers,and consistent results are obtained after dealing with endogeneity;there are two paths for the use of the Internet to promote long-term transfer of agricultural land.The use of the Internet promotes long-term transfer of agricultural land by reducing the risk of unemployment in non-agricultural employment of transferring households and reducing the risk of default in the transfer of agricultural land due to the default of transferring parties;the impact of Internet use on long-term transfer out of farmland The impact of Internet use on long-term farmland transfer is heterogeneous,and the more educated farmers are,the more likely they will choose long-term farmland transfer after using the Internet.Combining with the current reality that farmers face a lack of effective information in the decision making of farmland transfer period,we enrich and improve the information provided by the Internet-related professional platforms,and strengthen the publicity of platform services to attract and serve more farmers;improve the Internet information access ability of farmers with low education level,and expand their effective information access channels from offline to offline+online.