跨境电商综合试验区对地区经济发展的效应评估

Evaluation on the Economic Growth Effect of Chinese Cross-border E-commerce Comprehensive Pilot Zone

跨境电商综合试验区的设立有助于促进跨境电商新业态发展,推动我国外贸行业整体协调发展。本文以中国跨境电商综合试验区为准自然实验,选取2008-2020年36个大中城市的面板数据,利用双重差分法实证检验跨境电商综合试验区对城市经济增长的影响。研究结果显示,设立跨境电商综合试验区显著提高了城市GDP;跨境电商综合试验区政策对东部城市的影响呈现显著正相关,对非东部城市的影响不显著。各地区应该利用好政策优势,加快产业转型升级,提升政府服务水平,使跨境电商综合试验区能更好地释放经济发展动能。

The establishment of cross-border e-commerce comprehensive pilot zone will help promote the development of new forms of cross-border e-commerce and the overall coordinated development of China's foreign trade industry.Based on the panel data of 36 cities in 2008-2020,this paper makes use of the quasi-natural experiment of cross-border e-commerce comprehensive pilot zone to empirically test the impact which on urban economic growth by using the Difference-in-Difference(DID)The study results show that the establishment of cross-border e-commerce comprehensive pilot zone significantly increased the GDP of the city.The impact of the comprehensive test zone policy on the eastern cities is significantly positive,but the impact on the cities in the non-eastern comprehensive test zone is not significant.Therefore,all of the region should make good use of their policy advantages to create a good business environment.It is necessary to accelerate the industrial transformation and upgrading the areas while improving the level of government services,so that the cross-border e-commerce comprehensive pilot zone can better release the momentum of economic development.