新发展格局下我国市场规模测度与优势分析

An Analysis of the Measurement and Advantages of Market Scale in China under the New Development Pattern

市场规模优势的存在,使得以国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局形成变为可能。本文利用熵权法,测度了2008—2018年我国的商品服务市场、生产资料市场、金融市场、信息技术市场、劳动力市场和房地产市场,进而分析我国总体市场规模。研究结果发现:我国市场规模总体在不断扩大,优势较显著。其中,商品服务市场、生产资料市场、金融市场、信息技术市场、劳动力市场和房地产市场等规模也在逐渐增加,但是金融市场、房地产市场规模的波动较大,其他市场较为平稳,信息技术市场规模扩大最为明显。因此,提出两点建议:坚持创新驱动战略,进一步开拓新市场;加强新时代经济建设,充分发挥超大市场规模优势。

The existence of the advantages of market scale makes it possible to form a new development pattern, in which the domestic cycle runs as the mainstay and the double cycle between domestic and international markets wins mutual promotion. This paper uses entropy weight method to measure such markets in China as commodity and service, means of production, finance, information technology, labor and real estate from 2008 to 2018, and then analyzes the overall market size in China. The results show that the market size of China has been scaling up with obvious advantages.Specifically, those markets like goods and services, production, finance, information technology, labor and real estate represent a gradual increase in size, among which the information technology market expands most significantly. However, the size of financial market and real estate market is volatile while other markets are relatively stable. Therefore, this paper puts forward two suggestions: first adhering to the innovation-driven strategy and further exploring new market, and then strengthening economic development in the new era and giving full play to the scale advantages of super markets.