摘要
Based on the C-band Doppler radar data and the hourly precipitation data of heavy precipitation in Ulanqab from 2018 to 2019,the Z-I relationship of local convective precipitation and the correlation between vertically integrated liquid water(VIL)and precipitation were studied.The heavy precipitation was divided into cumulus precipitation and cumulus mixed cloud precipitation,and different types of Z-I relationship was established to compare it with the traditional and unclassified overall optimal Z-I relationship.It shows that the estimation of different types of precipitation by different Z-I relationships was obviously better than the other two.Cumulus precipitation had a certain lag correlation with VIL,and the last 4 scanning VIL values within an hour had no indicative significance for precipitation;mixed precipitation was basically synchronized with VIL;the correlation decreased with the increase of the distance from radar,the corresponding degree of VIL and precipitation in stations within 30 km was significantly higher than that of other regional stations.A continuous non-zero VIL sequence close to a certain place can be used as a forecast indicator.Once a zero value appeared in the VIL time series,even it occurred only once,the two sequences before and after the zero value should be distinguished.
基金
Supported by Special Project for Forecasters of China Meteorological Administration in 2020(CMAYBY2020-022)。
