振兴东北政策的产业升级效应

Industrial upgrading effect of the northeast revitalization

将2003年“振兴东北”政策视为一项准自然实验,使用合成控制法,检验“振兴东北”政策对东北地区的产业结构转型升级的促进作用。研究发现,“振兴东北”政策对东北地区的产业结构优化升级的促进作用显著,但东北地区的产业结构不平衡现象仍然突出,部分地区的产业结构固化,没有真正实现产业结构转型升级。从产业结构合理化、产业结构高级化2个维度,评估“振兴东北”政策对东北地区产业结构优化升级的影响效应,为国家更合理地制定区域产业结构发展政策,以系统性思维分类指导东北地区的产业结构发展提供了科学依据。

Taking the“revitalizing the northeast”policy in 2003 as a quasi natural experiment,this paper uses the synthetic control method to test the role of the“revitalizing the northeast”policy in promoting the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure in the northeast.It is found that the policy of“revitalizing the northeast”plays a significant role in promoting the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure in the northeast.However,the imbalance of industrial structure in Northeast China is still prominent,the industrial structure in some areas is solidified,and the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure has not been truly realized.This paper evaluates the impact of the policy of“revitalizing northeast China”on the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure in Northeast China from the two dimensions of rationalization and upgrading of industrial structure.It provides a scientific basis for the country to formulate regional industrial structure development policies more reasonably and guide the industrial structure development of Northeast China by classification with systematic thinking.