农地确权颁证对农地规模化与规范化流转的影响--基于确权政策宣传的调节效应分析

Impact of Farmland Rights Certification on Scale Transfer and Standardized Transfer of Farmland--An Analysis of Moderating Effect of Policy Propaganda in Farmland Rights Certification

农地确权颁证为农地流转奠定了产权基础,而在确权颁证政策实施过程中,政策宣传对政策的实现具有重要影响。构建“政策实施—政策宣传—政策实现”的分析框架,基于2016年17省农村土地调查数据,运用Probit模型、调节效应、工具变量等分析方法,探讨农地确权颁证对农地规模化、规范化流转的影响以及确权政策宣传的调节作用。研究结果表明:土地承包经营权证书的发放程度对于土地规模化流转与规范化流转具有显著的正向影响;同时,确权政策的宣传强化了土地承包经营权证书发放对土地规模化流转的促进作用。因此,在土地确权进入到“后确权”的收尾阶段,需要加强对于土地政策的宣传引导,增强农民对于土地确权政策的理解,推进土地确权政策的有效落地,促进农地规模化、规范化流转和经营。

The certification of farmland rights has laid the foundation of property rights for farmland transfer;meanwhile,policy propaganda has an important effect on policy realization.An analysis framework of“Policy Implementation—Policy Propaganda—Policy Realization”was constructed,and the impact of farmland rights certification on the scale transfer and standardized transfer of farmland was analyzed,and the moderating effect of policy propaganda in farmland rights certification was investigated,by using the Rural Land Survey data of 17 Chinese provinces in 2016 and applying the Probit Model,moderating effect analysis,and IV analysis.The empirical results show that the certification of farmland rights has a significant positive impact on the scale transfer and standardized transfer of farmland,and the propaganda of farmland rights certification policy poses a positive moderating effect on farmland scale transfer.Therefore,in the final stage of farmland rights certification,it is necessary to strengthen the propaganda and guidance of land policy,improve farmers’cognition of land certification policy,promote the effective implementation of land certification policy and promote scale and standardized farmland transfer.