摘要
系统梳理2021年5月22日青海玛多M_(S)7.4地震发生前地震活动异常特征、地球物理观测异常以及区域构造情况,结果如下:①玛多M_(S)7.4地震发生在巴颜喀拉块体内部,发震断层应为昆仑山口—江错断裂;②地震发生前存在地震平静、带状分布等地震活动异常;③存在形变、电磁和流体异常,其中流体异常对于该地震具有一定的短期预测意义。玛多M_(S)7.4地震序列类型为主震—余震型,余震较为丰富,序列持续衰减特征明显。综合分析认为,玛多地震前存在多种地震活动和地球物理观测异常,其中流体异常为本次地震的时间和地点预测提供了有效依据。
An earthquake with the magnitude of M_(S)7.4 occurred in Maduo County,Qinghai Province on May 22,2021.The historical seismicity,geophysical observations before the mainshock and tectonic background are systematically summarized in this paper.The results show that:(1)The Maduo M_(S)7.4 earthquake occurred in Bayankala block,and the seismogenic fault of this earthquake is the Kunlun Pass-Jiangcuo fault;(2)Seismic quiescence,earthquake gap,beltlike seismic distribution,and other seismicity anomalies emerged before the occurrence of the Maduo M_(S)7.4 earthquake;(3)There are geophysical anomalies before the Maduo M_(S)7.4 earthquake which contains anomalies relate to deformations,electromagnetic anomalies,and fuid anomalies,in which fuid anomalies show certain short-term prediction signifcance for the earthquake.The seismic activity of the Maduo M_(S)7.4 earthquake sequence indicates that the Maduo M_(S)7.4 earthquake sequence is a mainshock–aftershock sequence.Moreover,there are plenty of aftershocks and the current daily cumulative rate of the sequence shows an attenuation trend.The systematical analysis of the Maduo M_(S)7.4 earthquake indicates that various seismic and geophysical anomalies emerged before the Maduo M_(S)7.4 earthquake in which fuid anomalies provided effcient clues for forecasting the time and location of the subsequent earthquakes.
作者
解孟雨
王月
李纲
苑争一
钟骏
邓世广
宋金
于晨
岳冲
黎明晓
李美
解滔
姚丽
臧阳
XIE Mengyu;WANG Yue;LI Gang;YUAN Zhengyi;ZHONG Jun;DENG Shiguang;SONG Jin;YU Chen;YUE Chong;LI Mingxiao;LI Mei;XIE Tao;YAO Li;ZANG Yang(China Earthquake Networks Center,Beijing 100045,China)
出处
《地震地磁观测与研究》
2021年第6期181-197,共17页
Seismological and Geomagnetic Observation and Research
基金
地震科技星火计划(项目编号:XH20072)
中国地震科学实验场的地震可预测性国际合作研究(项目编号:2018YFE0109700)
中国地震台网中心青年项目“强震危险地点预测方法研究——以南北地震带为例”。
关键词
玛多M_(S)7.4地震
序列特征
地震活动异常
地球物理观测异常
Maduo M_(S)7.4 earthquake
characteristics of earthquake sequence
seismicity anomaly
observed geophysical anomaly