基于贸易引力模型的农产品国际竞争力分析——以生猪产品为例

Analysis of International Competitiveness of Agricultural Products based on Rrade Gravity Model——Taking Pig Products as an Example

生猪产品是我国农产品贸易的重要竞争力量,也是我国对外开展贸易活动的重要内容。虽然中国是世界生猪产品主要进出口国之一,但是与欧盟、美国等国家或地区相比,近几年我国生猪产品在国际市场上的竞争力不容乐观。通过构建贸易引力模型对影响我国生猪产品国际竞争力的因素进行分析,结果表明,中国猪肉产量与出口对象国的人均GDP会对中国生猪产品的出口数量产生正向影响,而生猪产品的出口单价、中国与出口对象国首都间的距离会对中国生猪产品出口产生显著负向影响。

Live pig products are not only an important competitive force in China’s agricultural trade,but also an important part of China’s foreign trade activities.Although China is one of the major importers and exporters of live pig products in the world,compared with the European Union,the United States,Canada and other countries or regions,the competitiveness of live pig products exported by China in the international market in recent years is not optimistic.In order to find out the factors that affect the international competitiveness of China’s pig products,based on the availability of data,this paper selects pork products as the classification of pig products and constructs a trade gravity model to analyze the relevant influencing factors.The results show that China’s pork production and the per capita GDP of the exporting countries will have a positive impact on the export quantity of Chinese pork products,while the export unit price of pork products and the distance between China and the capital of the exporting countries will have a significant negative impact on the export of Chinese pork products.