2006-2020年苏州市前列腺癌死亡时空流行状况分析

Spatial Epidemiological Analysis on the Mortality Rate of Prostate Cancer in Suzhou from 2006 to 2020

目的:了解苏州市前列腺癌死亡的流行趋势和空间分布特征。方法:利用2006—2020年前列腺癌死亡数据分析年度变化趋势,运用地理信息技术开展空间自相关分析,寻找高发、低发地区。结果:2006—2020年苏州市前列腺癌年平均粗死亡率为6.87/10万,标化死亡率为3.03/10万;2006—2020年前列腺癌粗死亡率年度变化百分比为9.25%,标化死亡率年度变化百分比为4.07%。空间分布研究发现,苏州市前列腺癌存在高发、低发地区。结论:苏州市前列腺癌死亡风险呈现上升趋势;主要高发年龄段为≥60岁的男性,应针对前列腺癌高发区域开展基于高危人群风险分层的肿瘤筛查工作。

OBJECTIVE To analyze the epidemic trend and spatial distribution characteristics of prostate cancer death in Suzhou.METHODS Using the death cause monitoring data of prostate cancer from 2006 to 2020 to analyze the annual change trend;Using geographic information technology to carry out spatial auto-correlation analysis to find high and low incidence areas.RESULTS The annual average crude mortality rate of prostate cancer was 6.87/100000,and the standardized mortality rate was3.03/100000 in Suzhou during 2006 to 2020.The Annual Change Percentage(APC)of crude mortality of prostate cancer was 9.25%,and the standardized mortality APC was 4.07%in recent 15 years.The study of spatial distribution found that there were high and low incidence areas of prostate cancer in Suzhou.CONCLUSION The risk of prostate cancer death in Suzhou showed an upward trend;the main high incidence age group was men who were over 60 years old.Tumor screening based on risk stratification of high-risk groups should be carried out in area with high incidence of prostate cancer.