基于计划行为理论的农户认知与农地流转研究

Research on farmers’cognition and farmland transfer based on the theory of planned behavior

农地流转是实现规模化经营和促进农民收入的重要手段,深入探讨农地流转相关问题对于农村发展及巩固脱贫具有重要意义。基于计划行为理论,利用山西省陵川县的实地调研数据,通过中介效应模型检验农地流转意愿是否对农户认知与农地流转产生中介效应,并进一步采用二元Logistic回归模型分析农户流转意愿与流转行为产生偏差的影响因素。研究结果表明,农户流转意愿对于农户认知与农地流转行为间的中介效应显著;农地流转中有意愿并参与流转的农户有73户,占到总比的47.4%,有意愿但未流转的农户也有81户,达到总比例的52.6%,二者间存在较大偏差;农户流转意愿与行为产生偏差的主要影响因素包括农户性别、农户职业、家庭人口数量、家庭耕地数量、家庭收入、耕地撂荒情况和农户认知7个因素,各因素均呈现不同的正负作用。在此研究基础上,对当前研究区域内存在的农地流转问题提出相关建议。

The circulation of agricultural land was an important means to achieve large-scale operation and promoted farmers’income.It was of great significance for rural development and poverty alleviation to deeply explore the problems related to the circulation of agri⁃cultural land.Based on the theory of planned behavior,using the field survey data of Lingchuan county,Shanxi province,this paper used the mediating effect model to test whether the willingness of farmland transfer had a mediating effect on Farmers’cognition and farmland transfer,and further used the binary logistic regression model to analyzed the influencing factors of the deviation between farmers’willingness and behavior.The results showed that,farmers’willingness to transfer had a significant mediating effect on the re⁃lationship between farmers’cognition and farmland transfer behavior;73 households were willing to participate in the transfer of agri⁃cultural land,accounting for 47.4%of the total,and 81 households were willing but not willing to transfer,accounting for 52.6%of the total;The main influencing factors of farmers’turnover intention and behavior deviation include farmers’gender,farmers’occupa⁃tion,family population,family cultivated land,family income,abandoned cultivated land and farmers’cognition.On the basis of this study,the problems of farmland transfer in the current study area were discussed.