住房因素对三孩生育意愿的影响——基于CGSS2017数据的实证分析

The Influence of Housing Factors on the Three-child Fertility Willingness——Empirical Analysis Based on CGSS2017 Data

基于2017年中国综合社会调查数据,分析住房因素对城镇育龄群体三孩意愿的影响。研究发现:住房因素对城镇育龄群体的三孩生育意愿有显著的促进作用,其中住房面积的影响程度最高,其次为房产数量;不同流动状况、地区的育龄群体在住房因素上对三孩意愿的影响都具有异质性。应持续深化城镇住房制度改革,强化社会公共服务供给水平,不断完善生育配套支持措施,减轻生育成本,提高城镇育龄群体的三孩意愿。

Based on the data of China's comprehensive social survey in 2017,this paper analyzes the impact of housing factors on the three-child fertility willingness among urban childbearing age groups.The results show that housing factors have a significant role in promoting the three-child fertility intention of urban childbearing age groups.On the whole,the housing area has the most prominent impact,followed by the number of real estate.The influence of housing factors on the willingness of three children is heterogeneous in different mobility status and different regions and provinces.Based on this,it is suggested to continue to deepen the reform of the urban housing system,strengthen the supply level of social public services,continuously strengthen supporting measures for childbearing,reduce the cost of childbearing and strengthen social support for childbearing,so as to improve the three-child willingness of urban childbearing age groups.