中国对东盟环境产品出口影响因素动态分析:基于CMS模型

Dynamic Analysis of Factors Influencing China's Export of Environmental Products to ASEAN:Based on CMS Model

基于CMS模型探究中国对东盟环境产品出口的影响因素。实证结果表明:从环境产品整体角度来看,结构效应和竞争力效应对出口增长的影响逐渐增加,交叉效应对出口增长的影响减弱,竞争力效应逐渐成为环境产品出口增长的主导因素。从细分类环境产品角度来看,竞争力效应和结构效应对各类产品的影响逐渐增加,增长效应和综合竞争力效应对各类产品出口发挥主要作用。因此,中国应努力提升出口产品结构效应和产品竞争力效应,从而推动对东盟环境产品出口贸易的良性发展。

Based on the CMS model to explore the influencing factors of China's export of environmental products to ASEAN,the empirical results show that:from the overall perspective of environmental products,the impact of structural effects and competitiveness effects on export growth has gradually increased,and the impact of cross effects on export growth has weakened.The competitiveness effect has gradually become the dominant factor in the growth of environmental product exports.From the perspective of subdivided environmental products,the influence of competitiveness effect and structural effect on various products is gradually increasing,and the growth effect and comprehensive competitiveness effect play a major role in the export of various products.Therefore,China should strive to improve the structural effect of export products and the effect of product competitiveness,so as to promote the healthy development of the export trade of environmental products to ASEAN.