黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展的协同性测度

Research on the Synergy Measurement of Ecological Protection and High-quality Development in the Yellow River Basin

基于黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展协同作用机制框架,分析两者关联度和协同度,为黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展的协同性讨论由定性分析向定量研究拓展进行初步探索。研究发现:黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展相互促进、相互制约,两者关联度水平为中等以上;生态保护水平不高,在样本期内稳定波动,呈“中游>上游>下游”的分布特征;高质量发展水平不高,在样本期内小幅度波动上升,区域分布格局与“十一五”至“十三五”规划有关,有明显的阶段特征;生态保护和高质量发展不相协调,一直处在耦合度高、协同度低的低水平耦合阶段,其中,甘肃省耦合度最高、协同度最低,山东省协同度最高;协同度与高质量发展水平密切相关,有明显的区域和阶段特征。

Based on the synergistic mechanism framework of ecological protection and high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin,this paper analyzes the degree of correlation and synergy between the two and preliminarily explores the expansion of the synergistic discussion from qualitative analysis to quantitative research. The results show that ecological protection and high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin promote and restrict each other. The level of correlation between the two is medium or above. The level of ecological protection is generally average,and fluctuates steadily during the sample period with the distribution characteristics of "that in midstream is better than one in upstream and that in upstream is better than one in downstream". The level of high-quality development is not high,and the fluctuations increase slightly during the sample period,and the regional distribution pattern is related to the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" to the "Thirteenth Five-Year Plan" period,which has obvious phase characteristics. Ecological protection and high-quality development are not coordinated and have been in a low-level coupling stage with a high coupling degree and low synergy. Gansu Province has the highest degree of coupling and the lowest degree of synergy. Shandong Province has the highest degree of synergy. The degree of synergy is closely related to the level of high-quality development and has obvious regional and phase characteristics.