中国经济高质量发展水平的测度与区域异质性分析

The Measurement of High-quality Economic Development Level and Its Regional Heterogeneity in China

基于新发展理念,构建了经济高质量发展水平评价指标体系,并结合Dagum基尼系数及随机核密度估计对中国经济高质量发展水平的区域不平衡性及异质分化特征展开分析。研究发现:(1)中国经济发展质量持续提升,高质量发展区域不平衡的主要原因在于区域间异质分化;(2)经济高质量发展水平呈现俱乐部趋同效应且其空间分布形态具有明显的路径依赖特征,其中高水平俱乐部区域存在涓滴效应和渗透效应;(3)从子维度来看,创新、开放及共享三个维度的区域不平衡现象较为明显,是解决经济发展质量区域不平衡问题的关注重点。未来一段时期内,区域间不平衡可能仍是中国经济空间布局的主要形态,但高水平区域的空间效应或将成为推进区域经济协调发展的重要突破口。因此,政府应结合高水平区域的涓滴效应和渗透效应重点调控各个区域在创新、开放以及共享三个方面的协调发展,加强不同地理区域之间的协调与合作,扩大增长极的区域范畴,实现更高量级的规模经济与集聚经济。

In order to research the regional imbalance and heterogeneity of China ’s high-quality economic development, this paper established an economic development quality index and combined with Dagum Gini Coefficient and Stochastic Kernel Estimation based on China ’s New Development Principles. The results show that:(1) The quality of China ’s economic development continues to improve, and the main reason for the regional imbalance lies in the heterogeneity among regions;(2) The high-quality economic development level presents the club convergence effect and its spatial distribution pattern has obvious path dependence characteristics. In addition, there are trickle-down effects and osmotic effects in high-level club regions;(3) From the perspective of each sub-dimension,the regional imbalance and spatial characteristic of high-quality economic development is mainly reflected in the three dimensions of innovation, openness and sharing. In order to reduce regional imbalance, we should focus on innovation, opening and sharing. In the future, regional imbalance may still be the main formation of China’s economic space layout, but the existence of these spatial effects may become an important breakthrough to promote the coordination and balanced development of regional economy. Therefore, the government should combine the trickle-down effect and osmotic effect of high-level regions to focus on regulating the coordinated development of various regions in innovation, openness and sharing, strengthen coordination and cooperation between different geographical regions, expand the regional scope of growth poles, and realize economies of scale and agglomeration of higher magnitude.