碳中和背景下农户兼业能否促进低碳生产行为?

Whether Farmers’Part-time Employment Can Promote Low-carbon Production Behavior Under the Background of Carbon Neutrality?

鉴于碳中和对我国农业农村发展提出了新要求,且农户兼业已成为普遍现象,为促进农户采纳低碳生产行为,利用对黑龙江省376份农户深度调研数据,实证分析碳中和背景下农户兼业对农户低碳生产行为的影响。结果表明农户兼业促使农户采纳低碳生产的概率提高了12.8%;进一步采用倾向得分匹配法解决样本选择偏误,结果发现这一概率值仍然高达14.0%~24.9%,而且在统计上非常显著和稳健,同时当农户家庭成员多、加入合作社、无政治身份、受政府宣传教育影响大、受政府监管影响大时,农户兼业促进农户进行低碳生产的作用更为明显。基于此,提出不仅要拓宽农户兼业渠道、提供农户更多兼业机会,还要发挥政府监管的约束作用,进而发挥农户兼业对农户低碳生产的促进作用,为我国早日实现农业农村碳中和提供路径参考。

In consideration of the new requirements of carbon neutralization for China’s agricultural and rural development,and the fact that farmers’part time employment has become a common phenomenon,in order to promote farmers to adopt low-carbon production,this paper empirically analyzes the impact of farmers’part-time employment on farmers’low-carbon production behavior under the background of carbon neutralization,by using the in-depth survey data of 376 farmers in Heilongjiang province.The results show that the probability of farmers adopting low-carbon production increases by 12.8%,and the tendency score matching method is further used to solve the sample selection error,the results show that this probability value is still as high as 14%~24.9%,which is statistically significant and stable.At the same time,when farmers who have many family members,join cooperatives and have no political identity,are greatly affected by government publicity and education and government supervision,the role of farmers’part-time employment in promoting farmers’low-carbon production is more obvious.Based on the above conclusions,the paper proposes not only to broaden the channels of farmers’part-time employment and provide more opportunities for farmers’part-time employment,but also to give play to the restrictive role of government supervision,so as to give full play to the role of farmers’part-time employment in promoting farmers’low-carbon production,and to provide path reference for China’s early realization of agricultural and rural carbon neutralization.