合作研发策略选择问题的动态演化分析

Dynamic Evolution Analysis of Cooperative R&D Strategy Selection

合作研发是国家创新战略的核心内容之一,在合作研发的合作模式上,双方能否建立良好的合作机制是合作研发成败的关键。在有限理性和不完全信息的前提下,以演化稳定策略和复制动态方程为建模基础,构建合作研发策略选择问题的演化博弈模型,分析合作双方决策行为的动态演化过程,并对模型结果进行数值模拟与仿真分析,为合作研发决策提供参考。研究表明:为促使合作双方的策略选择趋于最优稳定策略,须加大对合作研发中机会主义行为的惩罚力度,降低机会主义行为所产生的收益,同时,双方应努力降低研发成本,提高合作收益。

Cooperative R&D is one of the core contents of national innovation strategy.In the cooperation mode of cooperative R&D,whether the two sides can establish a good cooperation mechanism is the key to the success or failure of cooperative R&D.Under the premise of limited rationality and incomplete information,based on the evolutionary stable strategy and replication dynamic equation,the evolutionary game model of cooperative R&D strategy selection is constructed,and the dynamic evolution process of decision-making behavior of both partners is analyzed,and the results of the model are simulated and analyzed to provide reference for cooperative R&D decision-making.The results show that:in order to make the strategy choice of both sides tend to be optimal and stable,it is necessary to increase the punishment of opportunistic behavior in cooperative R&D and reduce the benefits of opportunistic behavior.At the same time,both sides should strive to reduce the R&D costs and increase the cooperation benefits.