“双碳”目标下我国再电气化路径及综合影响研究

Study on the impact of re-electrification on the path to carbon peaking and carbon neutralization in China

再电气化是最具技术经济性和可行性的能源转型路径,在推动我国如期实现碳达峰、碳中和任务中将发挥重要作用。为系统评估实施再电气化所产生的影响,综合考虑经济、社会及环境3方面要素,对我国再电气化路径进行了全面分析。从经济发展、产业转型、社会就业和环境治理等角度构建多维度评价指标体系,定量分析其对经济社会所产生的综合影响。研究结果表明,再电气化对推动实现我国碳中和目标具有重要意义,有利于构建以电为中心的现代能源体系,促进电气化及相关低碳技术的创新和产业发展,对拉动社会就业、提升人类健康水平、降低社会碳成本具有积极作用。

Seeing that re-electrification is the most feasible way for energy transformation in terms of technology and economy,it plays a key role in achieving carbon peaking and carbon neutralization in China as scheduled.In order to systematically evaluate the impact of re-electrification,the re-electrification path in China is comprehensively analysed from three prospects,economy,society and environment.A multi-dimensional evaluation index system is built to evaluate its impact on economic development,industrial transformation,employment and environment protection,giving a quantitative analysis result of the influence on socio-economy.The research results show that re-electrification is of great significance to China's carbon neutralization since it facilitates the construction of an electricity-centred modern energy system,promotes the innovation and industrial application of technologies related to electrification and low carbon,stimulates open employment,secures human health and reduces costs of carbon reduction.