韩国总统选举中的朝鲜变数及其变化研究

The Influence and the Changes of North Korean Variables v.s the Presidential Election in South Korea

民主化之后,韩国举行的选举都受到了“朝鲜变数”这一独有变数的影响。朝鲜变数能够在选举中发挥重要影响的原因是朝鲜半岛的“分断体制”及南北之间的“敌对依存关系”。通过探讨韩国历届总统选举中具体的朝鲜变数,能够发现传统朝鲜变数的影响正在逐渐减弱;与此同时,新式朝鲜变数,也就是与韩国国内与国外因素相结合的朝鲜变数,仍是韩国选举中的热点问题。

The presidential election held in South Korea has been affected by"North Korean variables"ever since its democratization.The"disjunction system"on Korean Peninsula and the"antagonized dependency relationship"between the North and the South Korea are the causes of the influence of the North Korean variables.It has been found that the influences of the variables are gradually decreasing,and meanwhile a new type of variables,which combines the domestic and foreign factors,is still a hot issue of the presidential election in South Korea.