欧洲对抗与亚洲突围——全球转型中的欧亚新博弈

Confrontation in Europe and Breakthrough in Asia:The New Eurasian Game during Global Transformation

"全球转型"是近年来国际问题研究界为探究当代世界变迁所提出的一个概念。21世纪初以来,全球转型经历了从"中心化"到"非中心化"的转折。在经历冷战后的高速增长阶段以后,全球经济进入相对低速增长时期。在此时期,国际竞争将更加残酷无情。与欧洲呈现出胶着对抗的状态形成对比,亚洲的成长与发展有望成为长期趋势。亚洲需要通过自己的努力,避免西方危机对于亚洲的扰动,而且可以积极有为地影响西方,为亚洲以及全球发展创造有利的国际环境。这是从全球转型的视角来看待当代危机局势的一个重要问题。

“Global transformation”is a concept put forward by the international academic community in recent years to explore contemporary international changes.Since the beginning of the 21^(st) century,the global transformation has experienced a twist from“centralization”to“decentralization”.After high-speed growth after the Cold War,the global economy has entered a period of relatively low-speed growth.During this period,the international competition was more ruthless.In contrast to the continuing confrontation in Europe,the growth and development of Asia is expected to become a long-term trend.Asia needs to avoid the disturbance of the West’s crisis through its own efforts.Furthermore,Asia could positively influence the West,creating a favorable international environment for the development of both Asia and the world.This is an important issue when considering the current crisis from the perspective of global transformation.