中国木材对外依存度降低的可能性分析

Possibility of Reducing China's Wood Dependence on Foreign Trade

长期高度依赖国外木材供给不符合构建“以国内大循环为主体”的双循环新发展格局要求,降低中国木材对外依存度的关键是增加国内木材供给,从而将以国际木材供给为主体转化为以国内木材供给为主体。研究发现:从木材产量增加的可能性来看,中国在木材增加的数量上可以不依赖进口原木锯材;从森林资源消长平衡的角度来看,中国也能够大幅度降低木材对外依存度;从竹材替代的角度来看,还有很大的潜力增加竹材对木材的替代。研究结论认为中国已经具备了主要依靠国内森林资源供给木材的条件,木材生产利用与保护森林资源并不相悖,应汲取典型省份的先进经验提升国内木材供给能力,采取有效措施促进竹产业的发展,利用加工技术创新弥补国内木材供给质量上的短板。

The long-term high dependence on foreign wood supply does not meet the requirement of the new dual-circulation pattern with domestic cycle being dominated.The key to reducing China's wood dependence on foreign trade is to increase domestic wood supply,thereby transforming international wood supply as the mainstay to domestic timber supply as the mainstay.The results show that China can be independent of imported wood log and sawn timber in wood supply quantity based on the increasing possibility of China's wood production.If the growth and decline of forest resources are balanced,China's wood supply dependence of foreign import can be greatly reduced.There is still great potential to increase the bamboo substitution of wood.So China already has the conditions to supply wood mainly depending on domestic forest resources.Wood production utilization is not inconsistent with forest resource protection,and the advanced experience of typical provinces should be learned to improve domestic wood supply capacity.Some effective measures should be taken to promote the development of the bamboo industry,and processing technology needs innovation to make up for the shortcomings in the quality of domestic wood supply.