中美经贸协议下双边农产品贸易演化与前景

Evolution and Prospect of Bilateral Agricultural Trade Under China-US Economic and Trade Agreement

2020年1月,中美两国签署了第一阶段《中华人民共和国政府和美利坚合众国政府经济贸易协议》,最重要的内容是增加了中国对美国商品的采购规模,特别是对中国进口美国农产品做了比较细致的规定。《协议》实施后,中国大幅增加了美国农产品进口规模,但由于多种原因未达到预期设定目标,这既有疫情影响,又有对未来目标乐观高估所致,这也决定了第二阶段谈判会异常艰难。面对当前复杂的中美贸易环境,我国既要注意贸易统计口径的细节,又要化被动为主动,坚定不移地推进农产品进口多元化策略,稳定供应链,在双循环格局下实现农产品进口安全。

In January 2020,China and the United States signed the first phase of the economic and trade agreement between the government of the People′s Republic Of China and the government of the United States of America.The most important content is to increase the scale of China′s procurement of American goods,especially the more detailed provisions on China′s import of American agricultural products.After the implementation of the agreement,China has significantly increased the import scale of agricultural products from the United States.However,it has not reached the expected target for many reasons,which is not only caused by the impact of the epidemic,but also caused by optimism and overestimation of the future target.This situation determines that the second stage of negotiations will be extremely difficult.Facing the current complex Sino-US trade environment,China should not only pay attention to the details of trade statistics,but also turn passivity into initiative,unswervingly promote the diversification strategy of agricultural products import,stabilize the supply chain,and realize the import security of agricultural products under the dual-circulation pattern.