劳动力流动对农村居民消费的影响——基于空间效应视角的分析

The Impact of Labor Mobility on Rural Residents’Consumption——Analysis Based on The Perspective of Spatial Effects

在考虑空间溢出效应的基础上,本文以农村劳动力流动规模和流动方式为切入点,利用空间杜宾模型实证考察了2009-2019年期间我国农村劳动力流动对农村居民消费的影响。结果表明,农村劳动力流动能够有效提高农村居民的消费水平,劳动力流动总规模扩大不仅可以提高本地区农村居民的消费水平,还可以促进邻近地区农村居民消费的增长;农村劳动力本地流动、外出-省内流动和跨省流动对本地区和邻近地区农村居民消费均具有显著的促进作用;不同流动方式对农村居民消费的促进效应差异化明显,外出-省内流动的直接效应大于跨省流动,本地流动的直接效应最小。农村劳动力流动对多数消费支出项目均具有显著的促进作用,有助于推动农村消费升级。

Based on the consideration of spatial spillover effects,this paper takes the scale and mode of rural labor mobility as an entry point,and uses the spatial Durbin model to empirically examine the impact of rural labor mobility on rural residents’consumption during the period of 2009-2019.The results show that rural labor mobility can effectively increase the consumption level of rural residents.The expansion of the total scale of labor mobility can not only increase the consumption level of rural residents in local region,but also promote the growth of the consumption of rural residents in neighboring areas.Rural labor migration of local flow,off-site intra-provincial flow and off-site inter-provincial flow have a significant role in promoting the consumption of rural residents in this region and neighboring areas.The promotion effects of different mobility methods on rural residents’consumption are significantly different.The direct effect of off-site intra-provincial flow is greater than that of off-site inter-provincial flow and the direct effect of local flow is the smallest.Rural labor mobility has a significant role in promoting most consumer expenditure items,which is helpful to promote the upgrading of rural consumption.