网络游戏对青少年教育期望影响研究

The Impact of Online Games on Teenagers’ Educational Expectations

21世纪以来,我国网络游戏产业得到迅猛发展并成为了网络经济的重要增长点。与此同时,由于监管政策滞后等诸多原因,网络游戏又无异于“洪水猛兽”,使很多青少年“玩物丧志”。使用“中国教育追踪调查”2014年-2015年数据,探讨我国初中生玩游戏状况及其对教育期望的影响。研究发现,初中生玩网络游戏现象非常普遍;多层有序分类模型检验了玩游戏的强度对学生的教育期望存在的显著负向影响;分层模型检验了个体差异的调节效应,同伴辍学、学业成绩、亲子关系和学校分层强化了玩网络游戏对学生教育期望的负面影响,当同伴辍学人数越多、学业成绩和亲子关系越差、学校等级较低,其负面影响越强。此外,采用工具变量方法有效地解决了反向因果问题。由于学生自我教育期望是个体学业成就与国家人才培养体系的重要影响因素,玩游戏对教育期望的影响不容忽视。而出台合理的监管政策降低学生玩游戏时间,是新时代办好人民满意的教育的亟需措施。

Since the 21 st century,China’s online game industry has developed rapidly and become an important growth point of network economy.At the same time,due to the lag of regulatory policies and many other reasons,online games are no different from flood and beast,which makes many teenagers lose their ambitions.Using the data of "China Education Panel Survey" from 2014 to 2015,this article discusses the status of China’s junior high school students playing games and its influence on their educational expectations.The research found that playing games is very common among junior middle school students and takes up most of their spare time.The intensity of playing games has a significant negative impact on students’ educational expectations.The same group effect plays a great role in educational expectation,and the same group drop-out has a significant negative impact on students’ educational expectations.The introduction of reasonable regulatory policies to reduce students’ playing time is an urgent measure to run a satisfactory education in the new era.