城市经济韧性研究:理论进展与未来方向

Research on Urban Economic Resilience: Theoretical Progress and Future Directions

提升经济韧性既是当今世界发展目标也是学界研究热点。近年来,越来越多的研究者运用韧性理论对经济高质量发展问题进行了理论研究与实践探索。随着不确定风险冲击的日趋增多,城市作为经济发展的重要载体与核心动力,如何增强城市经济体抵御防范风险冲击的能力正在成为各国制定政策的关键。文章重点梳理城市经济韧性的内涵演变、评价方法和影响因素,探索当前数字时代背景下城市经济韧性理论的新进展。综述发现:城市经济韧性的内涵由强调单一均衡、多重均衡逐步向动态适应演化;经济韧性的测度方式正从基于过程测度向基于状态测度转变,评价指标趋于多元化,评价方法更加科学;影响城市经济韧性的主要因素包括技术创新、产业结构等,目前数字技术正逐渐成为增强中国经济韧性的新引擎,捕捉数字经济在城市经济系统中的作用机制并进行经验研究将成为未来城市经济韧性研究的新方向。本研究为城市经济理论研究提供新的思路与未来研究方向,为城市经济韧性建设提供理论支持。

Enhancing economic resilience is not only a development goal of the world but also a research hotspot. In recent years, more and more researchers have applied resilience theory to theoretical research and practical exploration of high-quality economic development. With the increasing impact of uncertain risks, urban behavior is an important carrier and core driving force of economic development. How to strengthen the ability of urban economy to resist and prevent the impact of risk is becoming the key to making policies in various countries. This paper focuses on the connotation evolution, evaluation methods and influencing factors of urban economic resilience, and explores the new progress of urban economic resilience theory in the current digital era. It is found that the connotation of urban economic resilience has gradually evolved from emphasizing single equilibrium and multiple equilibrium to dynamic adaptation. The measurement method of economic resilience is changing from process-based measurement to state-based measurement. The evaluation indexes tend to be diversified and the evaluation methods are more scientific. The main factors affecting urban economic resilience include technological innovation, industrial structure, etc. At present, digital technology is gradually becoming a new engine to enhance China’s economic resilience.Capturing the mechanism of digital economy in urban economic system and conducting empirical research will become a new direction of future urban economic resilience research. This study of urban economic theory provides new ideas and future research directions, and provides theoretical support for the construction of urban economic resilience.