协调粮食生产与经济发展的国际经验及借鉴——基于世界主要产粮国面板数据的实证研究

International Experience and Enlightenment of Coordinating Grain Production and Economic Development——An Empirical Study Based on Panel Data of Major Grain Producing Countries in the World

国家的粮食生产与经济发展间有着密切的联系,政府在制定相关政策时要立足于对二者进行协调。基于灰色关联法的耦合协调模型可以揭示出近年世界主要产粮国家粮食生产与经济发展的耦合协调格局。研究表明,国际上粮食生产与经济发展系统间的耦合以阿根廷、乌克兰两国最为协调,其协调发展的动力主要来源于其政府在助农政策、基础设施建设和农业科教体系构建上的投入。基于此,针对中国在农业发展中面临的问题提出了政策建议,即中国应在加强农业技术人才队伍建设的同时,加强农业科技支持,深化对外农业合作。

National grain production and economic development are closely linked,the government should coordinate them when formulating relevant policies.The coupling coordination model based on grey correlation method can reveal the coupling coordination pattern of grain production and economic development in the world’s major grain producing countries in recent years.The research showed that Argentina and Ukraine have the most coordinated coupling systems,and the driving force of their coordinated development mainly comes from their government’s investment in agricultural policy,infrastructure construction and the construction of agricultural science and education system.Based on this,some policy suggestions were put forward in view of the problems faced by China in agricultural development,that is,China should strengthen the construction of agricultural technical talents,strengthen the support of agricultural science and technology,and deepen foreign agricultural cooperation.