基于投入产出视角的科普能力评价研究

Research on the Evaluation of Popular Science Ability from the Perspective of Input-output

科普能力是国家向公众提供科普产品和服务的综合实力,是建设高质量科普体系的基础性工作,在推动公民科学素质提高的作用与日俱增。为促进我国科普事业的良好发展,基于我国31个省份2010—2019年的科普面板数据,从投入产出分析视角出发,采用变异系数法、线性加权法、固定效应模型对我国科普能力的时间演化、区域差异与影响因素进行研究。研究结果表明:从时间序列来看,我国科普投入水平呈现上升趋势,产出水平为下降趋势;从面板数据来看,我国科普综合能力整体较低,省域之间差异显著;从影响因素来看,科普创作人员、科普志愿者、政府科普资助、科普场馆基建经费支出、科普活动经费支出对科普能力均为正向影响,其中政府科普资助等资金投入类因素对科普能力的影响程度最大。

Science popularization ability is the comprehensive strength of the state to provide science popularization products and services to the public. It is the basic work of building a high-quality science popularization system, and plays an increasing role in promoting the improvement of citizens’ scientific quality. In order to promote the good development of science popularization in China, based on the science popularization panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2010 to 2019, from the perspective of input-output analysis, the time evolution, regional differences and influencing factors of science popularization ability in China are studied by using the coefficient of variation method, linear weighting method and fixed effect model. The following conclusions are drawn: from the perspective of time series, the input level of science popularization in China shows an upward trend, and the output level shows a downward trend. From the panel data, the comprehensive ability of science popularization in China is low as a whole, and there are signifcant diferences among provinces. In terms of infuencing factors, science popularization creators, science popularization volunteers, government science popularization funding, infrastructure expenditure of science popularization venues and science popularization activities have a positive impact on science popularization ability, among which capital investment factors such as government science popularization funding have the greatest impact on science popularization ability.