莫迪政府的南亚战略转变及对地区秩序的影响

The Shifts of Modi Administration's South Asian Strategy and Its Impact on Regional Order

莫迪政府的南亚战略近年来正在发生显著的转变,主要表现在印度重新关注南盟等地区多边机构,着力打造自己的安全提供者形象,积极提供地区卫生公共产品,加大对地区基础设施的投资力度。其主要原因在于中印在南亚地区的竞争超过合作,美印在该地区的战略利益不断扩大以及印度急于修复和加强与邻国的关系。莫迪政府的这一转变虽然在短期内可为南亚其他国家提供更多的选择和机遇,但从长期看将加剧地区其他国家的选择困境,弱化其政策自主性。

With the rapid changes in the international and domestic situation,Modi Administration's South Asian strategy is undergoing some shifts.These are mainly manifested in India's reinvesting attention to regional multilateral institutions such as SAARC,striving to build the image of Security Provider,actively providing regional public health goods,and increasing regional infrastructure investment.The main reasons for these shifts are that the competition between China and India in South Asia overtakes cooperation,the strategic interests of the United States and India in the region continue to expand,and the necessity for India to repair and strengthen relations with neighboring countries.Although these shifts may provide more economic choices for small states in South Asia in the short term,it will lead to choosing side dilemma and weaken their strategic autonomy in the long term.