生产性服务业视角下的制造业升级路径研究——基于中国与东盟国家的比较

The Upgrading Path of Manufacturing Industry from the Perspective of Competitiveness of Producer Services:Based on Comparison between China and the ASEAN

通过加强生产性服务业的发展促进制造业升级是经济发展方式转变的重要议题。在RCEP协定的进一步推动下,中国与部分东盟国家作为制造业亟待升级的发展中国家,应抓住机遇,增强生产性服务业的竞争力,助推制造业攀升价值链。分析比较2005—2019年中国与东盟国家制造业发展现状,基于Hausman“两步法”测算,比较中国与东盟国家的制造业出口技术复杂度,同时通过对竞争力指数的测算,分析双方生产性服务业及其分部门的优劣势,并在此基础上实证考察中国与东盟国家通过提升生产性服务业竞争力升级制造业的具体路径。结果表明,生产性服务业总体竞争力的提高对制造业升级具有显著促进作用,而不同国家的生产性服务业分部门的竞争力提升对其制造业升级的影响不同。

An important issue in the transformation of economic development mode is to promote the upgrading of manufacturing industry by strengthening the development of producer services.For developing countries including China and some ASEAN nations whose manufacturing industry awaits upgrading,the RCEP agreement provides an impetus for them to seize the opportunity to enhance the competitive power of their producer services and boost the manufacturing sector to rise in the value chain.The manufacturing sector’s development situations of China and ASEAN nations between 2005 and 2019 are analyzed based on the Hausman two-step test to compare the export technique complexity in the manufacturing sector of China and ASEAN nations;meanwhile,their competitiveness indexes are tested to analyze the advantage and disadvantage of their producer services as well as the subsectors;based on the above,an empirical study is made on the specific paths for China and ASEAN nations to upgrade their manufacturing sector by promoting the competitiveness of their producer services.The result shows that improving the overall competitive power of producer services can prominently facilitate the upgrading of the manufacturing sector,but the improvement of the competitiveness in the subsectors of producer services of different countries has a different impact on their manufacturing sector’s upgrading.