安徽省2022年度突发事件公共卫生风险评估报告

Risk assessment of public health emergencies in Anhui Province in 2022

目的筛选出安徽省2022年需要关注的风险评估议题,评估各议题在不同月份的关注级别和重点关注地区或场所,提出针对性的风险管理建议。方法根据安徽省近5年突发公共卫生事件、传染病监测数据和相关专题分析资料,采用专家咨询法筛选风险评估议题,再通过专家会商法对议题进行风险识别、分析和评价,得出风险评估结果。结果2022年安徽省发生新冠肺炎、流行性感冒、人感染禽流感、诺如病毒感染性腹泻、手足口病、霍乱等细菌性肠道传染病、发热伴血小板减少综合征、钩体病、恙虫病、流行性出血热、布鲁氏菌、水痘、麻疹等疫情和出现毒蕈中毒、一氧化碳中毒、磷化铝中毒、高温中暑、食源性疾病暴发等事件具有一定的风险。不同月份传染病/事件的风险等级和关注级别不同。结论2022年安徽省需关注的突发事件公共卫生风险评估议题较多,应做好重点关注传染病或事件高发月份的卫生应急准备工作,完善联防联控机制,统筹整合多部门资源,落实各项防控措施,做好多病共防。

Objective To screen out the risk assessment topics that Anhui Province needs to pay attention to in 2022,and to evaluate the level of attention and key areas or places of each topic in different months,so as to put forward targeted risk management suggestions.Methods Based on the surveillance data of public emergencies,infectious diseases surveillance data and relevant thematic analysis information in Anhui Province in the past five years,the risk assessment topics were screened using the expert consultation method.The topics were then identified,analyzed and evaluated for risk through the expert consultation method.We obtained the risk assessment results at last.Results There may be an outbreak of COVID-19,influenza,human infection with avian influenza,norovirus infectious diarrhea,hand-foot-mouth disease,cholera and other bacterial intestinal infectious diseases,fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome,leptospirosis,scrub typhus,epidemic hemorrhagic fever,brucellosis,chicken pox,and measles in Anhui Province in 2022.There may be mushroom poisoning incidents,carbon monoxide poisoning incidents,aluminum phosphide poisoning incidents,heat stroke incidents and foodborne diseases incidents in Anhui Province in 2022.Infectious diseases or events had different risk levels and concern levels in different months.Conclusion There are many public health risk assessment topics for emergencies that need to be paid attention to in Anhui Province in 2022.It is necessary to do a good job of emergency preparedness in the months with high incidence of infectious diseases or events.All cities in the province need to improve the joint prevention and control mechanism,and need to coordinate and integrate resources from multiple departments.All cities should implement the prevention and control measures,and do a good job of multi-disease prevention.