摘要
运用相对风险模型评估丝绸之路经济带生态环境风险,并基于生态现代化理论预判趋势。研究表明:以水体为环境受体,干旱气候灾害和人口增长这两类自然风险是丝绸之路经济带主要的生态环境风险源;沿线区域中,中亚和南亚国家处于高生态环境风险区,欧洲多数国家处于低生态环境风险区。丝绸之路经济带实现生态现代化目标任重而道远。
The relative risk model is used to evaluate the ecological environment risk of the Silk Road Economic Belt,and its development trend is predicted based on the theory of ecological modernization.The research shows that taking water as the environmental receptor,drought climate disaster and population growth are the main eco-environmental risk sources of the Silk Road Economic Belt;Among the regions along the line,central and South Asian countries are in high ecological and environmental risk areas,and most countries in Europe are in low ecological and environmental risk areas.The Silk Road Economic Belt has a long way to go to achieve the goal of ecological modernization.
作者
郑玉雯
薛伟贤
ZHENG Yuwen;XUE Weixian(School of Management,Xi'an Polytechnic University,Xi'an 710048,China;School of Economics and Management,Xi'an University of Technology,Xi'an 710048,China)
出处
《中国软科学》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2022年第2期95-104,共10页
China Soft Science
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“丝绸之路经济带生产网络与生态环境协同发展研究”(17BJL005)
国家自然科学基金青年项目“双重价值链嵌入对我国纺织业企业污染减排的影响机制及减排路径研究”(72103160)。
关键词
丝绸之路经济带
生态环境风险
相对风险模型
生态现代化
the Silk Road Economic Belt
ecological environment risk
relative risk model
ecological modernization
