2022年国际航运市场的“四大变量”

"Four major variables"of world shipping market in 2022

2021年,全球经济增速为6%,IMF、世行预测2022年增速均为4.4%;OECD预测为4.5%。三家机构预测数值虽有差异,但高位回调的增长态势是一致的。另外,从过去十年看,全球经济平均增速为2.9%,从未来中期看,全球经济增速预计将放缓至3.5%。

In 2021,the global economy grew by 6%.IMF and World Bank forecast that the growth rate will be 4.4%in 2022,while OECD's projection is 4.5%.Although their forecasts are different,the growth trend featuring pullback from high is a consensus.Moreover,over the past decade,global growth rate has averaged 2.9%and is expected to slow to 3.5%in the medium term.