中国到户扶贫资金政策效果——来自家庭层面的经验证据

The Impacts of Household Poverty Reduction Fund in China——Evidence from Household-level Data

本文利用2006—2010年农村贫困监测的家庭面板数据评估了中国第一个21世纪扶贫纲要时期到户扶贫资金的政策效果,基于双重差分方法的研究结果表明,到户扶贫资金显著提高了农户的收入和支出水平。但是,收入增长主要是来自政府转移性收入的增加,而非农户自身生产能力的提升所带来的市场收入的增加。在支出方面,农户在生产经营方面的投入和生活性消费支出都有所增长。

Employing household-level panel data of the Rural Poverty Monitoring Survey from 2006 to 2010, we evaluate the impacts of the poverty reduction fund on households’ income and expenditure, during the first Outline for Poverty Reduction and Development in China’s Rural Areas of the 21 century. Using Difference-in-Differences estimation strategy, we find that households’ income and expenditure have been increased significantly after they receive the poverty reduction fund. The increased income, nevertheless, mainly comes from the injection of government transfer income of poverty reduction fund itself, rather than the earnings from households’ own production capacity growth. On the expenditure side, households invest more in production and operation, and also raise their living expenses.