图书情报与档案管理期刊论文首次响应时间的影响因素研究

Study on the Influencing Factors of the First Response Time of Articles from Journals in Library Information and Archives Management

[研究目的]探索文献篇幅、作者数量和参考文献数量对期刊文献首次响应时间的影响,以及首次响应时间对文献被引之后文献影响力进一步提升的影响,可丰富和拓展领域相关理论、方法和实践分析研究内容。[研究方法]以5种图情档领域的期刊论文及其2011-2013年引用数据为样本,计量分析期刊论文首次响应时间随期刊论文篇幅、作者数量和参考文献数量变化的演变规律,以及论文首次被引之后年均引用数随期刊论文首次响应时间快慢变化的演变规律。然后综合使用多元回归和灰色关联方法,实证分析期刊论文首次响应时间的影响因素及其对论文首次被引之后影响力提升的促进作用。[研究结论]实证结果显示:随着期刊论文作者数量的增长,期刊论文首次响应时间呈现出先下降后升高的凹形曲线形态,作者数量为3~4人时,论文首次响应时间最快;论文篇幅或作者数量的增长会促进论文首次响应时间变快;期刊论文首次响应时间越快,首次被引后的论文年均引用数、下载和被引频次越高;与期刊论文首次响应时间关联度最高的两个因素分别是首次被引之后的年均引用和论文篇幅。

[Research purpose]To explore the influence of the number of pages,authors and references on the articles first response time,as well as the influence of first response time on the further increase of citations of articles following their first citation.[Research method]This paper takes the publication and citation data of articles published between 2011 and 2013 as samples,these articles are from five journals in library information and archival management.Based on the sample data,we analyzed quantitatively the development patterns of the first response time of five journals along with the increase of the length of articles,the number of authors and references,as well as the development patterns of the average citation of articles following their first citation along with the change of the first response time.Then,the multiple linear regression and grey correlation analysis are utilized to analyze the influence of the number of pages,authors and references on the first response time,as well as the promoting effect of the first response time on articles to get more citations following their first citation.[Research conclusion]The empirical results show that:With the increase of the number of authors,the first response time of articles in journals showed a concave curve pattern,which first drops down and then begins to rise.When the number of authors is between 3 and 4,the first response time of articles would be fastest.The results of multiple regression analysis show that the increase of the length of articles and number of authors can accelerate the first response time of articles that can be suggested by the significantly negative correlation coefficient among them.Further,the first response time has a significantly negative correlation with the annual average citation,download frequency and total citations of articles following their first citation,that means the acceleration of the first response time can promote the increase of the following citations and download frequency of articles following their first citation.The results of grey correlation analysis show that the annual average citation of articles after first citation and the length of articles have the higher grey correlation coefficient with the first response time.