基于空间计量模型的共同富裕演化特征及驱动因素研究——以长三角区域一体化为例

Evolution Characteristics and Driving Factors of Common Prosperity Based on Spatial Econometric Model in Yangtze River Delta

本文构建了“经济增长—社会发展—环境治理”系统的耦合协调度指数来衡量共同富裕,并使用了探索性空间分析和空间杜宾模型解构长三角区域的共同富裕演化特征与驱动机制。研究发现:长三角区域的共同富裕表现为从上海向长江上游拓展,并沿长江沿岸城市演进,呈现“先富带动后富”的发展规律;而溢出效应通过产业转移、教育投资、劳动就业和资本流动等因素实现,这些因素成为促进共同富裕的突破口。

This paper constructs the coupling coordination index of economic growth, social development and environmental governance to measure common prosperity, and uses exploratory spatial analysis and spatial Durbin model to find the evolution characteristics and driving mechanism of common prosperity in the Yangtze River Delta region. The study shows that the common prosperity of the Yangtze River Delta region expands from Shanghai to cities along the Yangtze River, which presents the development pattern of "Rich first drives rich later". The spillover effect is transmitted through industrial transfer, educational investment, labor employment and capital flow, which become the key points of promoting common prosperity.