RCEP对东盟贸易的影响评估

Assessing the Impact of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership on ASEAN Trade

《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》(RCEP)是一项区域性自由贸易协定(FTA),将东盟十国与包括澳大利亚、中国、日本、新西兰以及韩国在内的5个伙伴国联系在一起。该协定涉及从原产地规则和贸易便利化到知识产权和投资等贸易及非贸易议题。在考虑到所有成员国已加入其他FTAs的基础上,重点考察RCEP对贸易本身可能产生的影响。世界贸易组织(WTO)最新的FTA情况和进出口数据表明,RCEP的关税减让将削弱现有FTA伙伴国提供给东盟的贸易优惠,同时将东盟国家的进口来源重新分配给生产效率更高的RCEP伙伴国。

The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP)is a regionwide free trade agreement(FTA)linking the ten ASEAN economies to their“+5”partners,namely Australia,China,Japan,New Zealand and South Korea.It covers both trade and non-trade related issues ranging from rules of origin and trade facilitation to intellectual property rights and investment.This study examines the likely impact of RCEP on trade alone,taking into account the fact that all its members are already participants in a number of other FTAs.Using latest FTA data from the WTO on imports and exports,this study reveals that tariff reduction under RCEP will erode ASEAN s trade preferences provided by existing FTA partners,while reallocating import sources of ASEAN countries towards more efficient RCEP partners.