美日印澳“四国安全对话”机制中的印度因素及其前景

The Indian Factor in the QUAD Mechanism and Its Prospect

自2017年美国、日本、印度、澳大利亚“四国安全对话”机制(QUAD)被再次提出和推动以来,印度在其中的角色备受瞩目。一方面,印度强调“中国威胁”,希望联合美日澳三国平衡中国力量;另一方面,印度对组建新的“四国安全对话”机制采取区别于其他三国谨慎对待的立场。印度之所以持谨慎立场,主要是担心完全投向该联盟会损害印度自身的安全、经济和战略利益。总体而言,印度外交政策的目标在于牵制中国日益上升的影响力,塑造有利于自身发展的印太战略环境。未来,印度的立场也将对该机制的推进产生诸多影响。中国应该对“四国安全对话”中的印度因素有清醒认识,采取必要的应对措施,以消除或减少对中国的不利影响。

Since the QUAD mechanism was re-initiated and promoted again in 2017,there has been much attention on India’s role in it.On the one hand,India emphasizes“China threat”and wants to join force with the U.S.,Japan and Australia to counterbalance China’s influence.On the other hand,India takes a cautious stance on the formation of the new QUAD mechanism,which is different from the other three countries.India’s cautious stance is largely driven by fears that a full commitment to the alliance would undermine its security,economic and strategic interests.On the whole,the goal of India’s foreign policy is to contain China’s rising influence and create a strategic environment conducive to its own development in the Indo-Pacific.In the days to come,India’s stance will also have a lot of influence on the progress of this mechanism.Therefore,China should remain clear-headed about the Indian factor in the QUAD mechanism and take necessary countermeasures to eliminate or reduce adversary impacts on China.