中国涉旅公共卫生事件时空分异特征及其引致因素解析

Spatial-temporal Differentiation and Triggering Factors of Tourism Public Health Events in China

为精准防治涉旅公共卫生风险,采用年际集中指数、变异系数等方法揭示了2010—2019年我国涉旅公共卫生事件的时空分异特征,并利用空间面板回归解析了其引致因素。结果表明:①我国涉旅公共卫生事件呈非均衡时序分布且多发于夏季,不同省域的事件存在年际差异。②涉旅公共卫生事件呈空间集聚分布,事件频发区以山东、辽宁、云南等省份为中心向周边辐射,形成“小聚集、大分散”的空间分布格局。③涉旅公共卫生事件受人员、环境、设施与管理等因素的共同耦合影响,旅游接待人数、食源性疾病风险、疾病风险监管和医疗卫生水平对事件有显著影响。

To accurately prevent and control tourism public health risks,this paper used annual concentration index method,and coefficient of variation method to reveal the spatial-temporal differentiation of tourism public health events in China from 2010 to 2019,and used the spatial panel regression method to analyze the triggering factors of tourism public health events.The results showed that:①Tourism public health events showed an unbalanced temporal distribution and occurred mostly in summer,and annual differences existed among events in different provinces.②Tourism public health events were spatially clustered,and the frequency of events was centered in Shandong,Liaoning and Yunnan provinces and radiated to the surrounding areas,forming a spatial distribution pattern of“small clusters and large dispersions”.③Tourism public health events were affected by the coupling of personnel,environment,facility and management.Specifically,the numbers of tourist receptionists,the risk of foodborne disease,the supervision of disease risk and medical hygiene level had significant influences on tourism public health events.