进口国贸易便利化水平对上海市出口潜力的影响研究

Research on the Influence of Trade Facilitation Level of Importing Country on Export Potential of Shanghai

论文基于2010-2019年上海与其20个主要出口国家的面板数据,测算进口国的贸易便利化水平,将其引入随机前沿引力模型的贸易非效率模型中,测算其对上海市的出口潜力影响,发现进口国贸易便利化水平越高,对上海市出口潜力的实现越具有促进作用,其中最为有效的是进口国优质的金融与电子商务环境。论文借助随机前沿引力模型测算出口潜力有助于上海市出口贸易的发展。

Based on panel data of Shanghai and its twenty major export countries from 2010 to 2019,this paper measures the level of trade facilitation of the importing country and introduces it into the trade inefficiency model of stochastic frontier gravity model to estimate its influence on the export potential of Shanghai.It is found that the higher the level of trade facilitation in the importing country is,the more positive it is to the realization of Shanghai's export potential,and the most effective is the high-quality financial and e-commerce environment in the importing country.This paper uses stochastic frontier gravity model to calculate export potential,which is helpful to the development of Shanghai's export trade.