地方政府应急能力影响因素及其提升路径探究——基于31省面板数据的实证研究

Exploration on influencing factors of local government’s emergency capability and its improvement paths:empirical research based on panel data of 31 provinces

为探究地方政府应急能力影响因素及提升路径,提高地方政府应急能力,采用我国31省(自治区、直辖市)(不含港澳台地区)面板数据,基于TOE框架和应急恢复弹性双维度研究框架,提出7个影响因素,并结合模糊集定性比较方法(fsQCA)探讨不同区域应急能力提升路径。研究结果表明:要建设常态化应急能力,短期内需增加应急资源投入、增强注意力分配,长期还需要提升基础设施和大数据水平。对于发达地区,地方政府要借助大数据和基础设施优势,提升社会自救互助能力;对于欠发达地区,政府与社会协同应急是最佳选择。

In order to explore the influencing factors and improvement paths of local government emergency and improve the emergency capability of local government,7 influencing factors were put forward based on the TOE framework and the dual-dimensional research framework of emergency recovery elasticity by using the panel data of 31 provinces and municipalities in China,and the improvement paths of emergency capability in different regions were discussed by combining with the fuzzy set qualitative comparison method(fsQCA).The results showed that to build the normalized emergency capability,it was necessary to increase the investment of emergency resources and enhance the distribution of attention in the short term,and improve the level of infrastructure and big data in the long term.For the developed areas,the local governments should take advantage of big data and infrastructure to improve the ability of social self-help and mutual assistance.For the underdeveloped areas,the coordinated emergency between government and society was the best choice.