长三角旅游业发展非均衡性、收敛性及成因

Non-Equilibrium,Convergence and Its Causes of Tourism Development in the Yangtze River Delta

本文基于2011至2017年的数据对长三角旅游业发展非均衡性、收敛性及成因进行分析,发现长三角国际旅游业非均衡发展问题突出,国内旅游业趋于均衡。旅游业发展整体呈现出条件收敛态势,且旅游收入出现了类别收敛。各城市旅游业发展具有空间收敛特征,形成了“上海—江浙传统旅游强市—其他城市”的“金字塔”空间分布格局。旅游资源品质提升和三产从业人数增加不但促进了长三角国际旅游业发展,同时增加了长三角城市成为“国际旅游业发展平均水平高的收敛俱乐部”的概率。对外开放程度扩大和旅游交通水平提高对长三角旅游业发展产生了全面推动作用。城市生态环境的改善以及源于政府行政力量的帮扶会促使各城市成为旅游业发展水平更高的收敛俱乐部成员。

Based on the data from 2011 to 2017,the non-equilibrium,convergence and causes of tourism development in the Yangtze River Delta are analyzed.It is found the problem of unbalanced development of international tourism in the Yangtze River Delta is outstanding,and domestic tourism tends to be balanced.Tourism development showed a general convergence of conditions,and tourism revenues showed category convergence.The tourism development of each city has the characteristics of spatial convergence,forming the spatial distribution pattern of“pyramid”in“Shanghai-traditional tourism-developed cities in Jiangsu and Zhejiang-other cities”.The improvement of the quality of tourism resources and the increase in the number of employees in the tertiary industry not only promoted the development of international tourism in the Yangtze River Delta,but also increased the probability that the Yangtze River Delta city will become a“convergence club with a high average level of international tourism development”.The expansion of opening up and the improvement of tourism traffic have played an overall role in promoting the development of tourism in the Yangtze River Delta.The improvement of the urban ecological environment and the help from the government’s administrative forces has prompted cities to become members of the convergence club with a higher level of tourism development.