中国对非基础设施建设能否推动中非产能合作——基于贸易增加值的视角

Does African Infrastructure Construction by China Promote China-Africa Capacity Cooperation——From the Value-added Trade Perspective

中国经济发展进入“新常态”及“国际产能合作”新概念提出以来,中国对非基础设施建设能否切实推进中非产能合作备受关注。本文从贸易增加值角度对不同方式的中非产能合作进行识别,探讨了中国对非基础设施建设与中非产能合作的关系。研究发现:中国对非基础设施建设能够显著促进中非产能合作,且机制检验证实了基础设施改善与全要素生产率提高是两大重要渠道。此外,异质性分析表明:对于处于经济发展较好、建有中非经贸合作区的非洲国家,上述促进作用更为明显;且在不同产业、行业,异质性表现得亦是十分突出。本文研究将有助于正确评价中国对非基础设施建设对中非产能合作的作用,可为后续南南基建合作长久开展及中非产能合作进一步深化提供重要策略参考。

Since China’s economic development entered the “New Normal” and the new concept of “international capacity cooperation” was put forward, whether African infrastructure construction by China can effectively promote China-Africa capacity cooperation has attracted much attention.This article identified different forms of China-Africa capacity cooperation from the value-added trade perspective, and discussed the relationship between African infrastructure construction by China and China-Africa capacity cooperation.The research finds African infrastructure construction by China can significantly promote China-Africa capacity cooperation, and the mechanism test has confirmed the improvement of infrastructure and total factor productivity are two important channels.In addition, the heterogeneity test shows that the above promotion effect is more obvious for African countries with better economic development or the ones with China-Africa Economic and Trade Cooperation Zone;and the effect shows heterogeneity between different industries.This research will help to evaluate the role of African infrastructure construction by China for China-Africa capacity cooperation, and can provide an important strategic reference for the long-term development of follow-up South-South infrastructure cooperation and the further deepening of China-Africa capacity cooperation.