上海市区域物流与旅游经济耦合协调实证研究

Empirical Study on Coupling Coordination between Regional Logistics and Tourism Economy in Shanghai

文章通过选取上海市2008~2019年物流业与旅游业发展水平指标数据,建立耦合协调度模型对上海市区域物流与旅游经济的耦合度协调关系进行实证分析,研究发现:(1)上海市区域物流与旅游经济的综合发展水平稳步提升状态。其中旅游业发展水平呈现稳步上升趋势,而物流业发展水平呈现波动上升趋势。(2)通过灰色关联度分析可知,出租汽车运营车辆、港口货物吞吐量、A级旅游景点数、国际旅游入境人数、星级宾馆饭店数等指标是影响两个系统发展的主要内部因素。(3)上海市区域物流与旅游经济的耦合协调度总体呈上升趋势,并在此基础上为上海市物流业与旅游业的协调发展提出相关建议。

The article analyzes the Shanghai logistics industry from 2008 to 2019 and tourism development level index data,establish the coupling coordination degree model of coupling of regional logistics and tourism economy in Shanghai to coordinate relationship between the empirical analysis,the study found that:(1)Comprehensive development level of tourism economy and regional logistics of Shanghai rising steadily.Among them,the development level of tourism shows a steady upward trend,while the development level of logistics industry shows a fluctuating upward trend.(2)Through grey correlation analysis,it can be seen that the main internal factors affecting the development of the two systems are taxi operating vehicles,port cargo throughput,number of A-class tourist attractions,number of international tourist arrivals,number of star-rated hotels and restaurants,etc.(3)The coupling coordination degree of regional logistics and tourism economy in Shanghai is generally on the rise.Based on this,some suggestions are put forward for the coordinated development of logistics industry and tourism in Shanghai.