面向碳中和的能源供需双侧协同发展研究

A Study of the Coordinated Development of Energy Supplies and the Demand for Carbon Neutrality

构建清洁低碳、安全高效的能源体系是推动我国实现碳中和目标的重中之重。绿色发展的长期需要为传统意义上的能源系统协调发展注入新的理论内涵。面向碳中和的能源供需双侧协同发展,是立足于绿色低碳发展背景,同时兼顾能源低碳产业链深度融合、能源产销空间均衡、能源技术耦合发展、能源市场相互联动与政策体系协调保障的全新发展方式。面对现阶段我国在推动能源供需双侧协同转型方面存在的问题挑战,未来能源供需双侧协同关系需要由“被动式”协同向“主动式”协同、“弱”协同向“强”协同以及“静态”协同向“动态”协同演进,形成以“需求牵引供给,供给适配需求”的双向驱动方式。能源系统的深度调整不仅要在量上解决能源供需错配问题,更要在产业、空间、技术、市场、制度等结构体系上推动能源供需双侧深度耦合。

Building a low-carbon and efficient energy system is the key driver for realizing carbon neutrality in China.The long-term requirement of green development has injected new connotations into the coordinated development of the energy system.The coordinated development of energy supplies and the demand for carbon neutrality consists of five aspects:the deep integration of the energy industrial chain,the spatial equilibrium of energy production and sales,the development of energy technology,the interaction of energy markets,and the coordination of policy systems.During the energy transition,the coordination of energy supplies and demand must be“active,strong and dynamic”rather than“passive,weak and static”if synergy within the energy sub-systems is to be achieved.The in-depth transformation of the energy system should not only solve the problems of energy misallocation in quantity,but also promote the deep coupling of energy supply and demand in industry,space exploration,technology,markets,and policy systems.