乡村振兴背景下农村人口、资源与环境协调发展实证分析——以河北省为例

Empirical analysis of the coordinated development of rural population,resource and environment under the background of rural revitalization:Taking Hebei province as an example

以河北省为例,基于耦合协调度模型,运用主成分分析法,分析2010—2019年河北省近10年的农村人口、资源与环境间的协调发展水平。结果表明,河北省农村人口、资源与环境的协调发展程度呈现先下降后上升趋势,由严重失调衰退型向更高层次的协调发展型转变,其中人口子系统发展稳步上升,资源与环境子系统呈现波动上升状态,整体协调发展趋势向好,但仍处于初级协调发展类型。因此,河北省农村发展应统筹人口、资源与环境各系统间的平衡发展,以协调发展引领新时代乡村建设。

Taking Hebei province as an example,based on the coupled coordination degree model,the principal component analysis⁃method was used to analyze the coordinated development level of rural population,resource and environment in Hebei province in the past 10 years from 2010 to 2019.The results showed that the coordinated development degree of rural population,resource and envi⁃ronmentin Hebei province showed a downward trend first and then an upward trend,changing from a severe imbalanced decline type to a higher-level coordinated development type.The development of population subsystem was rising steadily,and the resource and envi⁃ronment subsystem was in a fluctuating upward state.The overall trend of coordinated development was good,but it was still in the pri⁃mary coordinated development type.Therefore,the rural development of Hebei province should coordinate the balanced development between the systems of population,resource and environment,so as to lead the rural construction in the new era with coordinated de⁃velopment.