智能化时代国防科技体系工程初探

Preliminary study on national defense science and technology system engineering in the era of intelligence

随着智能化时代的到来,国防科技的研究与发展面临新的机遇与挑战。本文从体系视角出发,对智能化时代国防科技体系工程开展了初步的探索。首先,介绍了智能化时代国防科技体系工程的相关概念,辨析了其内涵,明确了其研究范畴,构建了国防科技体系工程的研究框架。其次,系统总结了国防科技体系工程研究重点关注的3个科学问题,分别是建模问题、评估问题及预测问题,并对解决这3大类问题的相关理论方法和技术手段进行了梳理介绍。最后,对国防科技大学复杂系统与体系工程团队自主研发的国防科技体系工程软件支撑工具集进行了简要介绍。通过研究与实践,为国防科技的发展战略制定、规划计划、项目管理等实际工作提供了理论、方法和技术支撑,促进了科技创新能力提升和战斗力生成。

With the advent of the era of intelligence,the development of national defense technology is facing new opportunities and challenges.This paper carries out a preliminary exploration of the national defense science and technology system engineering in the era of intelligence from the system perspective.It firstly introduces the related concepts of defense technology system engineering,distinguishes its connotation,clarifies its research scope,and constructs the research framework.Secondly,it systematically summarizes the research focus on the national defense technology system engineering.The three scientific issues of concern are modeling issues,evaluation issues,and prediction issues.The related theoretical methods and technical methods for solving these three types of issues are combed and introduced.Finally,a detailed introduction to the national defense science and technology system engineering toolkit independently developed by the Complex Systems and Systems Engineering Team of the National University of Defense Technology is provided.Through research and practice,this paper provides theoretical,methodological,and technical support for the development of national defense science and technology development strategy formulation,planning and project management and so on,which can promote the improvement of scientific and technological innovation capabilities and the generation of combat effectiveness.