基于DEPA探究亚太地区数字贸易治理前景

Exploring the prospects of digital trade governance in the Asia-Pacific region based on DEPA

随着全球数字贸易的迅猛发展,当前WTO多边框架下数字贸易规则存在缺失,使得数字贸易治理呈现出区域化趋势。为探究亚太地区数字贸易治理前景,预判亚太经济体参与数字贸易治理的可能路径,基于《数字经济伙伴关系协定》(DEPA),采用文献分析、规则文本对比、逻辑推演等研究方法,对亚太地区数字贸易治理的议题广度和深度、谈判模式、模块特征、关注焦点及竞争格局进行全面系统的分析研判。研究认为,未来亚太数字贸易治理主要呈现以下趋向:数字贸易治理将涵盖更多新兴技术领域,传统议题也会趋于更高标准;专门协定的高效率将驱使数字贸易议题逐渐与传统议题相剥离,协定的框架形式也将采取开放、灵活、包容的“主题模块”形式。数字包容性发展、数字便利化等议题将是亚太数字贸易治理的焦点议题;亚太数字贸易治理的大国博弈将以中美两国为中心,中小经济体也会以“联合抱团”来争取某些议题的话语权。

With the rapid development of global digital trade and the lack of digital trade rules under the WTO multilateral framework,digital trade governance has shown a regionalization trend.In order to explore the prospects of digital trade governance in the Asia-Pacific region and predict the possible paths for Asia-Pacific economies to participate in digital trade governance,based on the Digital Economy Partnership Agreement(DEPA),this paper uses the research methods such as literature analysis,rule-text comparison,and logical deduction to conduct a comprehensive and systematic analysis and judgment on the breadth and depth of issues,negotiation modes,module characteristics,focus of attention and competition landscape of digital trade governance in the Asia-Pacific region.The research believes that the future Asia-Pacific digital trade governance will mainly show the following trends.Digital trade governance will cover more emerging technology fields,while traditional issues will tend to require a higher standard.The high efficiency of the special agreement will drive the digital trade issue to be gradually separated from the traditional issue,and the framework form of the agreement will also adopt an open,flexible and inclusive thematic module.In addition,issues such as digital inclusive development and digital facilitation will be the focus of Asia-Pacific digital trade governance.The big-power game of Asia-Pacific digital trade governance will be centered on China and the United States,but it is not ruled out that small and medium-sized economies will also“join together”to fight for the right to speak on certain issues.