模糊综合评价法在突发公共卫生事件血液库存预警分级评估中的应用

Application of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method inthe classification model for blood inventory warning in public health emergencies

目的建立突发公共卫生事件血液库存预警分级定量模型,为实际应用提供理论参考和应对措施。方法通过文献综述,采用模糊综合评价法、层次分析法等方法构建突发公共卫生事件血液库存预警分级模型。运用构建完成的模型对德阳市中心血站2020年启动公共卫生一级响应前10 d响应d1,响应d5以及响应后d40(已解除)的数据进行模糊综合评价,计算预警等级。结果响应前d10,响应d1,响应d5以及响应后d40的预警等级分别为蓝色、橙色、红色、蓝色,与当时德阳市进入公共卫生事件一级响应的实际情况相符合。结论利用模糊数学理论的模糊综合评价法对突发公共卫生事件血液库存预警进行分级具有可行性,为未来实际应用提供了重要的理论参考。

Objective To establish the quantitative classification model of blood inventory warning for public health emergencies,so as to provide reference for practical application.Methods The classification model of blood inventory early warning for public health emergencies was constructed through literature review,fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method and analytic hierarchy process(AHP).The constructed model was used to conduct fuzzy comprehensive evaluation on the data of day 10 before,day 1/5/40 after the launch of Level I public health event response in Deyang Central Blood Station in 2020 and calculate the warning level.Results The warning levels of day 10 before,and day 1/5/40 after the response were blue,orange,red and blue,respectively,which were consistent with the actual situation of Deyang performing Level I public health event response at that time.Conclusion It is feasible to use fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to build the blood inventory warning classification model in public health emergency,which provides theoretical reference for practical application.