村组内土地禀赋差异会影响农户“一户一田”实施意愿吗——基于山东省468份调查问卷的实证分析

Do the land endowment differences among village affect farmers’willingness to implement“one household one plot”:Based on the survey data of 468 farmers households in Shandong Province

为更好地化解农地细碎化问题,结合诱致性制度变迁理论,基于山东省468个农户调查数据,构建二元Logistic回归模型研究村组内土地禀赋差异对“一户一田”实施意愿的影响。结果表明:1)82.91%的农户愿意实施“一户一田”,实施意愿较为强烈;2)村组土壤肥力、排水能力和灌溉条件差异均对“一户一田”实施意愿具有显著负向影响,即土壤肥力、排水能力和灌溉条件存在差异村组的农户“一户一田”实施意愿较低;3)地块数量、距家均距离、户主年龄、非农收入占比、是否信任干部对“一户一田”实施意愿有显著正向影响,块均面积、家庭规模对“一户一田”实施意愿有显著负向影响。因此,政府应允许村组实施“一户一田”,消除村组土地禀赋差异,改善粮食生产条件,满足农户农地细碎化治理的迫切心愿。

To understand farmers’willingness to implement“one household one plot”and better solve the problem of farmland fragmentation,based on the survey data of 468farmers households in Shandong Province,this study employs the analysis of induced institutional change theory.The binary logistic regression model is constructed to investigate the impact of the differences of the village land endowments on farmers’willingness to implement“one household one plot”.The results show that:1)Farmers’willingness of“one household one plot”is 82.91%which is relatively strong;2)The differences in land fertility,flood risk,and irrigation condition have significantly negative effects on the willingness of“one household one plot”;3)The number of plots,the average distance from home,age,nonagricultural income ratio have significant positive effects on“one household one plot”willingness,and the average area of plots and household size negate the willingness of“one household one plot”.Policy implications are proposed in this study as follows:The government should allow the village to implement“one household one plot”to satisfy the farmers’urgent wish on land allocation,eliminate the differences in the village land endowments and improve the food production conditions,thus to meet the farmers’urgent wish on the land fragmentation management.