农村居民收入变化及影响因素分析

Analysis of Rural Residents’Income Changes and Influencing Factors

以2012—2018年我国农村居民人均可支配收入的相关统计数据为依托,运用灰色系统理论中的GM(1,1)预测模型,对2019—2024年我国农村居民收入的发展趋势进行预测,并利用灰色关联分析方法对我国农村居民收入与其各构成因素之间的关联度进行量化研究,探析影响我国农村居民收入的主要因素,为拓宽多渠道以增加农村居民财产性收入提供科学依据。

Based on the relevant statistical data of the per capita disposable income of my country’s rural residents from 2012 to 2018,the GM(1,1)prediction model in the gray system theory is used to predict the development trend of my country’s rural residents’income from2019 to 2024.The paper used the grey relational analysis method to quantitatively study the correlation between the income of rural residents in our country and its various constituent factors,explore the main factors that affect the income of rural residents in our country,and provide a scientific basis for broadening multiple channels to increase the property income of rural residents.