财政分权、产业结构调整与绿色全要素生产率--基于环境污染门槛效应的视角

Fiscal Decentralization,Industrial Structure Adjustment and Green Total Factor Productivity--From the Perspective of Threshold Effect of Environmental Pollution

基于财政分权下政府与产业结构调整的策略博弈,从理论模型分析了政府产业引导与产业自身调整间的非合作博弈的发生、造成产业结构调整在绿色全要素生产率上的异质化效应,并应用2004—2017年间中国省级面板数据,采用动态面板门槛模型进行了实证检验。研究结果表明:当环境污染程度较低时,财政分权的施行将有助于产业结构调整带动绿色全要素生产率提升;当环境污染程度较高时,财政分权的施行将不利于促进产业结构调整带动绿色全要素生产率提升;财政分权主要通过税收竞争与财政环境补贴和支出双重路径影响产业绿色全要素生产率的提升。借此,对在区域财政分权背景下动态调整区域财政体制与产业绿色发展转型提出了相应的建议。

Based on the strategic game between government and industrial structure adjustment under fiscal decentralization,this paper analyzes the non-cooperative game between government industry guidance and industry self-adjustment from the theoretical model,which results in the heterogeneity effect of industrial structure adjustment on green total factor productivity.Using the provincial panel data from 2004 to 2017,the dynamic panel threshold model is used to test the results.The results show that:when the pollution level is low,the implementation of fiscal decentralization will help the industrial restructuring to promote green total factor productivity;when the pollution level is high,the implementation of fiscal decentralization will not be conducive to promoting industrial restructuring and promoting green total factor productivity;fiscal decentralization affects the promotion of industrial green total factor productivity mainly through tax competition and fiscal and environmental subsidies and expenditures.Therefore,this paper provides some suggestions on the dynamic adjustment of regional financial system and the green development transformation of industry under the background of regional fiscal decentralization.